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2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley

Technology

Research

Through timely, in-depth analysis of companies, industries, markets and world economies, Morgan Stanley has earned its reputation as a leader in the field of investment research.

Insights

Research

U.S. Consumers Feel a Holiday Glow

Dec 18, 2025

Holiday spending stays strong despite inflation, as consumers seek discounts, shift budgets online and embrace AI tools.

Research

Clear Skies for Corporate Travel in 2026

Dec 11, 2025

A new survey shows that corporate travel managers are more optimistic about the 2026 outlook, which could benefit airlines and hotel operators.

Research

Here Come the Shopping Bots

Dec 8, 2025

AI-powered shopping assistants—called agentic shoppers—are emerging and could reach $385 billion of U.S. e-commerce sales by 2030.

Research

The Longevity Effect

Nov 26, 2025

Morgan Stanley leaders discuss how the world’s aging population presents challenges, but also opportunities for businesses and investors.

Research

Dollar Depreciation Could Deepen Before a Rebound

Nov 26, 2025

The U.S. dollar is poised for a volatile year ahead, with further declines expected through mid-2026 before a comeback in the second half.

Research

U.S. Stocks Shine in Spotlight of Favorable Conditions

Nov 19, 2025

Risk assets are poised for a strong year in a friendly policy and macroeconomic environment, with U.S. stocks outperforming peers. U.S. government bonds are likely to weaken after a rally in the first half of the year.

Research

2026 Economic Outlook: Moderate Growth With a Range of Possibilities

Nov 19, 2025

U.S. consumer spending and capital expenditures on AI are likely to drive moderate growth as global inflation slows.

Research

Consumer Credit Remains Resilient at the Top

Nov 10, 2025

Despite investors’ concern about vulnerabilities in U.S. consumer credit, the strength of high-income consumers is expected to continue to prop up the broader U.S. economy.

Research

AI and M&A in European Tech, Media and Telecom

Nov 6, 2025

As the global tech landscape evolves rapidly, five major themes are emerging across the technology, media, and telecom sectors in Europe.

Research

How AI Coding Is Creating Jobs

Oct 29, 2025

As AI transforms software development, the industry is likely to see job growth—not loss—while developers should become a more strategic and valuable asset.

Research

Why Gold’s Rally Will Likely Go On

Oct 22, 2025

Despite this week’s stumble, gold prices could extend gains as central banks and ETFs buy in, anticipating Fed rate cuts and a weaker dollar.

Research

Luxury Gets Creative

Oct 14, 2025

A wave of new creative directors at leading luxury brands has led to a strong level of industry enthusiasm and optimism.

Research

Race for Relevance Fuels M&A in Asset and Wealth Management

Oct 8, 2025

The most fragmented sector of financial services is likely to see the number of firms fall by 20% over the next five years.

Research

What Could the U.S. Government Shutdown Mean for Markets?

Oct 1, 2025

The possibility of permanent layoffs among federal workers, as well as delays in economic releases, could make the government’s first shutdown in six years more consequential than previous instances.

Research

How AI Could Stop Surging Healthcare Costs

Sep 19, 2025

As AI speeds development of new medicines and creates efficiencies in hospital care, trillions of dollars in savings may be possible by 2050.

Research

Will Fed Cuts Lower Mortgage Rates?

Sep 19, 2025

Interest rate cuts have sparked hope that mortgage rates will finally fall and reignite the housing market. However, lowering home borrowing costs involves complex market factors.

Research

AI Could Affect 90% of Occupations

Sep 17, 2025

AI is changing the nature of work, but it could be a net positive for employment growth—and the stock market.

Research

The Innovation Boom in China Biotech

Sep 8, 2025

China is transitioning from a traditional generics manufacturer into a leader in drug discovery and development, with major implications for the global biotech industry.

Research

Six Possible Boosts for Biopharma

Sep 4, 2025

U.S. biopharma stocks have struggled in recent months, but a number of economic factors and industry developments could trigger a recovery.

Research

Nuclear Renaissance Gains Momentum

Aug 28, 2025

With technology driving ever-increasing energy demand, global capacity for nuclear energy could more than double by 2050.

Research

The Sports Industry's $130 Billion Ticket

Aug 22, 2025

The sports industry, which is lagging other sectors in technology adoption, could increase its annual revenue by 25% if it closes that digital gap.

Research

2025 Intern Survey: Hot Takes From Future Leaders

Aug 22, 2025

A Morgan Stanley AlphaWise survey of the firm’s summer interns in the U.S. and Europe reveals emerging trends in humanoids, cryptocurrencies and travel, among a future generation of leaders.

Research

AI Is Coming to Your Steering Wheel

Aug 21, 2025

Adoption of vehicles with partial to full automation is likely to accelerate, creating a $200 billion opportunity for automakers, hardware and software companies in the next five years.

Research

The Depreciation of the Dollar

Aug 6, 2025

The U.S. dollar ended July with gains, recovering some of its depreciation in the first half of 2025, but downward pressures on the greenback are likely to persist in the next 12 months.

Research

Tariffs Remain a Moving Target After Deals

Jul 31, 2025

The U.S. has reached trade deals with some of its major trade partners, but ongoing negotiations and the lagging impacts of tariffs keep the outlook for markets and the global economy murky.

Exceptional Leaders/Exceptional Ideas

Research

Singtel: Connecting Asia’s Digital Future

Aug 27, 2025

Singtel Group CEO Yuen Kuan Moon talks about how the company is driving new growth through next-generation data centers and IT services to power Asia’s digital economy.

Research

P&G: A Blueprint for Indispensable Brands

Jul 24, 2025

Morgan Stanley Research sits down with Procter & Gamble CEO Jon Moeller to discuss how the company is reimagining its business model while continuing to develop some of the world’s most indispensable household products.

Research

Tufan Erginbilgiç: Leading Rolls-Royce's Bold Transformation

Mar 25, 2025

Morgan Stanley sits down with Rolls-Royce CEO Tufan Erginbilgiç to explore how he’s leading an iconic brand through a bold transformation—focusing on innovation, mindset shifts, and a granular strategy for growth.

Research

Arista Networks: Leading Cloud Networking in the Age of AI

Feb 28, 2025

Morgan Stanley sits down with Arista Networks CEO Jayshree Ullal to explore how the company maintains startup agility as an industry leader.

Research

Qualcomm's Cristiano Amon: Setting the Pace of Innovation

Nov 22, 2024

Morgan Stanley sits down with Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon to talk about how the company is setting the pace of innovation in mobile computing.

Research

Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen: What AI Means for Innovation

Sep 26, 2024

Morgan Stanley sits down with Adobe Chairman and CEO Shantanu Narayen to talk about the challenges and opportunities around GenAI.

Research

Trip.com Group: What AI Means for Travel

Jul 9, 2024

Morgan Stanley sits down with Trip.com Group CEO Jane Sun to talk about how AI is changing travel and her vision for building the world’s largest travel agency.

Research

Iberdrola: Leading the Charge on Clean Electricity

Jun 5, 2024

Morgan Stanley sits down with Iberdrola Executive Chairman Ignacio Galán to talk about his love for the natural world, the most important drivers of progress in the energy transition and the investment case for green electricity.

Research

Morgan Stanley’s James Gorman: Seizing the Moment

Apr 22, 2024

James Gorman, Morgan Stanley’s Executive Chairman, reflects on his 14-year tenure as CEO, leading the firm during periods of unprecedented disruption and opportunity.

Research

Van Hauwermeiren: 'Everyone Can Innovate'

Feb 28, 2024

Tim Van Hauwermeiren, co-founder and CEO of argenx, talks about how the biotech develops novel treatments for autoimmune conditions, why the line between success and failure is “razor thin” for fledgling companies and why innovation should happen in all corners of an organization.

Research

Delta's Ed Bastian: Making Travel Magical

Nov 8, 2023

Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian talks about how the COVID-19 pandemic helped build brand loyalty, his conviction to take tough stands and how he sees sustainability shaping the future of air travel.

Research

Astrazeneca: Creating a Culture of Innovation

Sep 7, 2023

Pascal Soriot, the CEO of AstraZeneca, talks about how AI is changing drug development, the significance of ‘smart chemo’ and why real innovation requires taking risks.

Research

The Home Depot: 'Our Culture is our Differentiator'

Oct 4, 2023

Ted Decker, CEO of The Home Depot, talks about the outlook for home improvement after its pandemic-driven boom, why technology makes DIY more accessible, and how he plans to lead The Home Depot through the next phase of growth.

Listen to Thoughts on the Market

Ideas

Mike Wilson, U.S. Equities

Mike Wilson offers his perspective on the forces shaping the markets and how to separate the signal from the noise. Listen to his most recent episode and check out those of his colleagues from across Morgan Stanley Research.

Ideas

Andrew Sheets, Corporate Credit

Each week, Global Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets, or a member of his team, offers perspective on the forces shaping the markets as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk across global asset classes.

Ideas

Michael Zezas, U.S. Public Policy

Michael Zezas offers perspective on how U.S. public policy affects equity and fixed income markets, including trade tensions, infrastructure and government policy.

Events

Research

Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom | San Francisco 2025

Feb 25, 2025

Discover the latest trends in generative AI and other themes shaping technology, media and telecom from this year’s TMT conference in San Francisco.

Research

Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference | London 2025

Mar 18, 2025

Discover the latest trends and themes shaping the global financial industry from this year’s 21st annual conference in London.

Research

A New Space Economy on the Edge of Liftoff

Feb 17, 2021

Join Morgan Stanley as we explore the market forces, technology and imagination driving the new Space Age. Just as the elevator changed real estate, will the reusable rocket bring opportunities we can't yet imagine?

Meet Our Analysts

Profile

Research

U.S. Consumers Feel a Holiday Glow

Clear Skies for Corporate Travel in 2026

Here Come the Shopping Bots

The Longevity Effect

Dollar Depreciation Could Deepen Before a Rebound

U.S. Stocks Shine in Spotlight of Favorable Conditions

2026 Economic Outlook: Moderate Growth With a Range of Possibilities

Consumer Credit Remains Resilient at the Top

AI and M&A in European Tech, Media and Telecom

How AI Coding Is Creating Jobs

Why Gold’s Rally Will Likely Go On

Luxury Gets Creative

Race for Relevance Fuels M&A in Asset and Wealth Management

What Could the U.S. Government Shutdown Mean for Markets?

How AI Could Stop Surging Healthcare Costs

Will Fed Cuts Lower Mortgage Rates?

AI Could Affect 90% of Occupations

The Innovation Boom in China Biotech

Six Possible Boosts for Biopharma

Nuclear Renaissance Gains Momentum

The Sports Industry's $130 Billion Ticket

2025 Intern Survey: Hot Takes From Future Leaders

AI Is Coming to Your Steering Wheel

The Depreciation of the Dollar

Tariffs Remain a Moving Target After Deals

Singtel: Connecting Asia’s Digital Future

P&G: A Blueprint for Indispensable Brands

Tufan Erginbilgiç: Leading Rolls-Royce's Bold Transformation

Arista Networks: Leading Cloud Networking in the Age of AI

Qualcomm's Cristiano Amon: Setting the Pace of Innovation

Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen: What AI Means for Innovation

Trip.com Group: What AI Means for Travel

Iberdrola: Leading the Charge on Clean Electricity

Morgan Stanley’s James Gorman: Seizing the Moment

Van Hauwermeiren: 'Everyone Can Innovate'

Delta's Ed Bastian: Making Travel Magical

Astrazeneca: Creating a Culture of Innovation

The Home Depot: 'Our Culture is our Differentiator'

Mike Wilson, U.S. Equities

Andrew Sheets, Corporate Credit

Michael Zezas, U.S. Public Policy

Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom | San Francisco 2025

Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference | London 2025

A New Space Economy on the Edge of Liftoff

Michael Zezas

Benjamin Swinburne

Adam Jonas