Pandemic-era lifestyles drove a surge in pet ownership and spending, fueling outsized growth for the industry. As those tailwinds fade, rising costs are prompting more selective consumer spending, which is moderating industry expansion.
The pet boom is losing momentum: After nearly 20% growth in 2021 and a 9% annual pace through 2025, expansion is expected to slow to about 4% through 2030 —though U.S. spending could still hit $242 billion.
Affordability is central to this slowdown. Persistent inflation has raised pet ownership costs across food, veterinary services, grooming and accessories, prompting consumers—particularly younger owners—to make more careful spending decisions.
“The industry is moving into a mature phase,” says Simeon Gutman, Morgan Stanley Research’s U.S. Hardlines, Broadlines and Food Retail Analyst. “But key growth drivers are intact: Emotional attachment to pets is high, the vet is still very important and digitally positioned players are best placed to capitalize on evolving shopping trends.”
