Market Pulse

Path • Jun 01, 2020
Coronavirus: Positioning for tactical opportunities Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui, Christian Goldsmith In this article, the GBaR team provides an update on its latest market views and asset allocation positioning in light of the spreading impact of the coronavirus.

Market Pulse • Jun 01, 2020 • 6:36 Min
Follow the Money, Find the Performance Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 28, 2020 • 3:05 Min
In a High Yield Minute [Audio] Sarah Harrison Corporate liquidity profiles have been severely challenged during the lockdown. Sarah Harrison, Head of European High Yield, believes the policy response in Europe so far has helped stem default rates, and further action has the potential to restore investor confidence in the European High Yield asset class. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 26, 2020
The Breadth of the Market Is Encouraging Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 18, 2020 • 5:59 Min
Credit Check with Richard Ford Richard Ford Credit markets have been under tremendous pressure. What should investors think? Richard Ford, Global Head of Credit, offers his views. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 18, 2020 • 6:32 Min
Never Say Never: The Pros and Cons of Negative Interest Rates Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Global Fixed Income Bulletin • May 15, 2020
The Long and Winding Road Global Fixed Income Team There may be many twists and turns on the road to full economic recovery, but the longer your investment horizon, the more confident we believe you should be.

Path • May 15, 2020
Coronavirus: Further downside risk, with Europe likely most exposed Andrew Harmstone, Christian Goldsmith, Manfred Hui The GBaR team provides an update on its latest market views and asset allocation positioning in light of the spreading impact of the coronavirus.

Slimmon's Market Alert • May 14, 2020 • 3:42 Min
The Stock Market Looks Forward, So What Does It See Now? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • May 13, 2020
Where Are Bond Yields Going? It depends on what part of the curve you are asking about. Jim Caron The goal of the Fed’s policy response function is to prevent the liquidity crisis brought on by Covid-19 from becoming a solvency crisis. Jim Caron reviews the impact on bond yields.

Market Pulse • May 11, 2020
Jobs Report: Is the Worst Behind Us? [Audio] Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

TALES FROM THE EMERGING WORLD • May 07, 2020
Why Markets Are Partying Through the Pandemic Ruchir Sharma Ruchir Sharma, Head of Emerging Markets and Chief Global Strategist, explains why stock markets are rallying amid the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.

Market Pulse • May 07, 2020 • 4:31 Min
Bank of England Update and U.K. Outlook [Audio] Anton Heese Anton Heese, European Macro Strategist for the Global Fixed Income Team, offers his perspective on the May 7 Bank of England Monetary Policy Decision. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 04, 2020 • 8:51 Min
Credit Check with Richard Ford Richard Ford Credit markets have been under tremendous pressure. What should investors think? Richard Ford, Global Head of Credit, offers his views. Listen now.

Market Pulse • May 04, 2020 • 4:30 Min
The Risks Ahead: An Historically Weak Jobs Report & New U.S./China Tensions Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 30, 2020 • 3:12 Min
European Central Bank Update: Flexibility and Fragmentation [Audio] Anton Heese Anton Heese, European Macro Strategist for the Global Fixed Income Team, offers his perspective on the European Central Bank’s April 30 announcement. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 29, 2020

The Fed: Playing a Strong Hand but Unwilling to Show Their Cards

Jim Caron

On April 29 the Fed indicated the need to keep credit flowing, for both for businesses and individuals. To date most of the Fed’s actions are supporting credit in the business sector, to the point where we do not believe the Fed has done enough with respect to consumer credit, particularly in light of their statements about keeping credit flowing to the “real economy.” Jim Caron looks at a Fed that is playing a strong hand, but unwilling to show all its cards.

Slimmon's Market Alert • Apr 27, 2020 • 3:51 Min
Market Alert with Andrew Slimmon: Stocks…Yes! Market…No! Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • Apr 27, 2020 • 4:51 Min
Market Pulse with Jim Caron: A Big Week for Global Central Banks Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 23, 2020 • 04:24 Min
EM Leaders: Looking to Future Growth [Audio] Vishal Gupta Vishal Gupta, Portfolio Manager on the Global Emerging Markets team, discusses the impact of COVID-19 on the Emerging Markets Leaders strategy. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 23, 2020 • 2:56 Min
The Case for EM in the Post-Pandemic World [Audio] Jitania Kandhari Jitania Kandhari, Head of Macroeconomic Research on the Global Emerging Markets team and portfolio manager for the Emerging Markets Breakout Nations and Active International Allocation strategies, provides timely insights on why we believe now is the time for emerging market equities. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 20, 2020 • 6:21 Min
Whatever It Takes: Loan Programs, Oil & the Reopening of America Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 20, 2020
Recent Fed Actions: Implications for the High Yield Market Global Fixed Income Team The Fed’s involvement in the high yield market is unprecedented, so there is no prior history to look back upon as a guide. The Global High Yield team explores how the action could impact investors.

Global Fixed Income Bulletin • Apr 16, 2020
The End of the Beginning Global Fixed Income Team We’re hopeful that policy actions will help the economy return to normal as the health crisis recedes. But it remains unknown how deep and protracted the downturn will be as we’re held hostage to the path of the virus.

Market Pulse • Apr 15, 2020
Allocating Fixed Income Assets Through the Great Unknown Christian Roth We are facing a health crisis the likes of which we have not witnessed for close to a century. A seismic move to de-risk portfolios has created volatility and illiquidity not seen since 2008, and it is against this uncertain backdrop we invest today. Read more about the Global Fixed Income Team’s best thinking.

Market Pulse • Apr 13, 2020 • 6:36 Min
Market Pulse with Jim Caron: The Alphabet Soup of Liquidity & Solvency Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 09, 2020
Fixed Income Market Update Michael Kushma, Katie Herr The Global Fixed Income team presented an update on the Fixed Income Market on 9 April 2020.

Slimmon's Market Alert • Apr 08, 2020 • 3:35 Min
Is the Bear Headed for Hibernation Soon? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

TALES FROM THE EMERGING WORLD • Apr 07, 2020
The Strange Shape of the Coronavirus Crash Ruchir Sharma Ruchir Sharma, Head of Emerging Markets and Chief Global Strategist, makes the case for great opportunities in emerging markets in the After Coronavirus world.

Market Pulse • Apr 06, 2020 • 4:27 Min
Credit Beat with Joseph Mehlman Joseph Mehlman Joseph Mehlman, Head of U.S. Credit, provides timely insights on the fast-changing world of U.S. credit markets. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 06, 2020 • 4:44 Min
Credit Check with Richard Ford Richard Ford Credit markets have been under tremendous pressure. What should investors think? Richard Ford, Global Head of Credit, offers his views. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Apr 06, 2020 • 6:15 Min
Market Pulse with Jim Caron: A Silver Lining - Volatility Is Dropping Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Path • Apr 02, 2020 • 2:43 Min
Coronavirus: End of Q1 – time to take stock [Audio] Andrew Harmstone, Christian Goldsmith Christian Goldsmith, Portoflio Specialist for the GBaR Team, shares the team’s latest market views with a focus on the impact of coronavirus.

Market Pulse • Apr 02, 2020
Fixed Income Market Update Michael Kushma, Richard Ford, Richard Class The Global Fixed Income team presented an update on the Fixed Income Market on 2 April 2020.

Market Pulse • Apr 02, 2020
Building a Better Transmission Mechanism: Extending Credit to the Real Economy Jim Caron It's critical to understand the policy reaction functions designed to support markets during times of crisis because it provides insight into which assets may perform best as the economy moves out of the crisis environment.

Market Pulse • Apr 02, 2020
Active International Allocation - Market Commentary Jitania Kandhari, Ben Rozin The MSIM Active International Allocation Team offers their perspective on the global markets and the AIA portfolio in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Market Pulse • Mar 31, 2020
Rating Agencies Action Summary Global Fixed Income Team The COVID-19 crisis has disrupted supply chains of many companies and caused commodity prices to fall. How will rating agencies react to this disruption? The Global Credit research team explores.

Market Pulse • Mar 31, 2020
The Resilience Afforded by High Quality Companies International Equity Team The International Equity team shares their views on the potential impact of the pandemic through the lens of the team’s quality focused investment approach. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Mar 30, 2020 • 5:52 Min
Credit Check with Richard Ford Richard Ford Credit markets have been under tremendous pressure. What should investors think? Richard Ford, Global Head of Credit, offers his views. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Mar 30, 2020
Market Pulse with Jim Caron Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Path • Mar 27, 2020
Coronavirus: Focus shifts to the US Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui, Christian Goldsmith In this article, the GBaR team provides an update on its latest market views and asset allocation positioning in light of the spreading impact of the coronavirus.

Market Pulse • Mar 27, 2020
Fixed Income Market Update Michael Kushma, Richard Class Michael Kushma, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income, and Richard Class, Head of Product Development for EMEA and European Multi Sector Strategies, Portfolio Manager, presented an update on the Fixed Income Portfolio on 26 March 2020.

Market Alert • Mar 26, 2020 • 3:39 Min
Market Alert with Andrew Slimmon: Is The Relief Rally Here? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • Mar 26, 2020
Addressing the Coronavirus Impact: China Equity Portfolio Global Emerging Markets Team Despite the economic impact of COVID19, on-shore and off-shore China markets continue to offer exposure to a wide breadth of companies and sectors not readily available elsewhere, in the view of Investment Management’s Global Emerging Markets Equity team.

Market Pulse • Mar 26, 2020
Addressing the Coronavirus Impact: Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio Global Emerging Markets Team Even before the corona-induced sell-off, emerging market equities were cheap relative to the US and their own history. After the COVID-19 drawdown, valuations present an extraordinarily attractive entry point, says Investment Management’s Global Emerging Markets Equity team.

Market Pulse • Mar 26, 2020

Addressing the Coronavirus Impact: Frontier Markets Portfolio

Global Emerging Markets Team

Leaders in the next decade will likely include frontier markets, such as Vietnam, Egypt and Indonesia, according to Investment Management’s Global Emerging Markets Equity team. Our Frontier strategy remains focused on quality growth companies despite the coronavirus and we believe investments will emerge stronger relative to competitors.

Emerging-Markets-Leaders-Portfolio-Article-Tile-2x2

Market Pulse • Mar 26, 2020
Addressing the Coronavirus Impact: Emerging Markets Leaders Portfolio Global Emerging Markets Team High quality companies in emerging markets are likely to strengthen their dominance after recovery from the COVID-19 crisis gets underway, says Investment Management’s Global Emerging Markets Equity team.

Market Pulse • Mar 25, 2020
High Yield Outlook: Current Risks and Opportunities Global Fixed Income Team Historically, high yield has proven itself to be resilient. It is our view that active managers have the potential to outperform, avoid problematic sectors, and minimize default losses.

Market Pulse • Mar 24, 2020 • 7:30 Min
Credit Check with Richard Ford Global Fixed Income Team Credit markets have been under tremendous pressure. What should investors think? Richard Ford, Global Head of Credit, offers his views. Listen now.

Market Pulse • Mar 23, 2020
Liquidity vs. Solvency = Fed vs. Fiscal Stimulus Jim Caron The Fed is taking unprecedented action to help prevent a liquidity crisis from turning into a solvency crisis. Jim Caron explores what's been done so far.

Market Pulse • Mar 23, 2020
Coronavirus Update: The Outlook for Global Credit Richard Ford Richard Ford, Head of Credit with the Global Fixed Income Team, discusses the potential impact of the coronavirus on global credit markets.

Market Pulse • Mar 23, 2020 • 7:56 Min
Market Pulse with Jim Caron: Encouraging Signs Emerging From Fed & Fiscal Responses Jim Caron Jim Caron, Head of Global Macro Strategies, provides timely insights on what’s driving fixed income markets today. Listen now.

Slimmon's Market Alert • Mar 18, 2020 • 3:29 Min
Flattening the Curve is Flattening the Market. At Least for Now. Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • Mar 17, 2020
High Yield Update: Uncertainty Likely To Continue Global Fixed Income Team The coronavirus spread has continued to play out as many predicted but the market has clearly been disappointed in the policy responses received to date.

Market Pulse • Mar 15, 2020
Global Fiscal Stimulus Scorecard: The Cavalry is Coming, but Slowly & Arguing About Which Horse to Ride. Global Fixed Income Team Monetary policy has been exhausted. Now, we turn toward fiscal stimulus and market support policies. According to Jim Caron, the cavalry is coming, but slowly and arguing which horse to ride.

Market Pulse • Mar 13, 2020
European Central Bank: Looking for Silver Linings in Disappointment Anton Heese The initial market response to the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on March 12th was disappointment – equity prices fell while Bund yields rose, depsite the ECB actually delivered nearly everything analysts had been expecting from it.

Market Pulse • Mar 11, 2020
Energy Market Turmoil: What's Next? Global Fixed Income Team After what was supposed to be a coordinated supply cut by OPEC+ to balance markets and keep oil prices high, Saudi Arabia and Russia instigated an oil price war.

Slimmon's Market Alert • Mar 10, 2020 • 7:01 Min
How Much More Pain Is There? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Tales From the Emerging World • Mar 10, 2020
Our Coronavirus Worries Are a Bit Different Ruchir Sharma Ruchir Sharma, Head of Emerging Markets and Chief Global Strategist, offers his perspective on the burgeoning coronavirus epidemic and its potential impact on the markets.

Market Pulse • Mar 03, 2020
Emergency Fed Cut: Not a Vaccine, but a Treatment for Symptoms Jim Caron On March 3, the Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 basis points (bps) to between 1-1.25%. What should fixed income investors make of this move?

Slimmon's Market Alert • Mar 02, 2020 • 4:26 Min
Is the Recession Scare Fully Priced In? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • Mar 02, 2020
Update on Coronavirus and the Markets Global Fixed Income Team By now it’s clear the Coronavirus will have at least a short-term impact on the global economy. The question is, how do fixed income investors move forward?

Global Fixed Income Bulletin • Feb 29, 2020
It’s All About the Virus Global Fixed Income Team It’s now clear the coronavirus pandemic will have a meaningful impact on the global economy. As long as the virus’s impact remains disruptive rather than destructive, we should be fine, eventually.

Slimmon's Market Alert • Feb 26, 2020 • 4:40 Min
Another Recession Scare? Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon, Head of the Applied Equity Advisors Team, offers a timely perspective on what is shaping the markets now as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk within global equities. Listen to his Market Alert.

Market Pulse • Feb 25, 2020
How to Read the Drop in U.S. Treasury Yields Jim Caron The U.S. 10 Year has reached historic lows. Jim Caron explores what that could say about the state of the U.S. economy.

Market Pulse • Feb 12, 2020
The Coronavirus and Its Impact on the Global Market Jim Caron What will be the long-term impact of the Coronavirus on the global economy? Jim Caron thinks it all depends on the shape of the eventual recovery.

Market Pulse • Jan 12, 2020
If the economy is so darn good, why are yields so darn low? Jim Caron Data is getting better, but bond yields are not following. What's going on here? Jim Caron explains.

Market Pulse • Dec 18, 2019
U.S. - China Phase 1: More a Truce Than a Deal, but a Step in the Right Direction Jim Caron On December 15 the U.S. and China stopped the “rock throwing” as no new tariffs were announced by either of the antagonists. And while there is no official deal in place, this “truce” is clearly a good first step, as outlined by Jim Caron.

Market Pulse • Dec 13, 2019
December FOMC: Connecting the Dots Jim Caron After three rate cuts in 2019, the Fed indicated that it would not touch rates in 2020, instead forecasting that its next action would be a rate increase in 2021. The market, however, has a different view, pricing in a rate cut at the end of 2020.

Market Pulse • Dec 13, 2019
December FOMC: Connecting the Dots Jim Caron After three rate cuts in 2019, the Fed indicated that it would not touch rates in 2020, instead forecasting that its next action would be a rate increase in 2021. The market, however, has a different view, pricing in a rate cut at the end of 2020.

Market Pulse • Nov 27, 2019
Top 10 for ‘20 Jim Caron In our view, 2019 was a mid-cycle reset where the Fed cut rates three times, capital expenditure bottomed out and global GDP slowed. The bad news is that yields are low and investors are long on duration, a big risk given that the Fed will likely stay on the sidelines and not lower rates in 2020.

Market Pulse • Nov 19, 2019
From Mid-Cycle Reset to Cyclical Recovery Jim Caron This time last year the market projected the economy was headed into a recession, and the Fed engaged in a policy mistake by planning to hike rates above 3.00%. Instead, what we realized was 75bps of rate cuts along with cuts from global central banks and a restart of quantitative easing (QE).

Market Pulse • Sep 16, 2019
ECB Action Puts Pressure on Fed Jim Caron The ECB's recent actions have put pressure on the Fed to take some action of their own. Jim Caron from the Global Fixed Income Team shares his views.

Market Pulse • Aug 21, 2019
The Fed needs to Lead not Follow Jim Caron It is time for the Fed to get proactive. Jim Caron from the Global Fixed Income team shares his views.

Market Pulse • Aug 01, 2019
A Fed Mistake? Jim Caron The Fed may have made a mistake in deciding to cut rates by only 25bps. Jim Caron of the Global Fixed Income Team shares his views.

Market Pulse • Jul 25, 2019
Expect the Unexpected from the ECB Anton Heese The ECB changes course and gets ready to announce a package of easing measures. The Global Fixed Income team shares their views on what’s to come.

Market Pulse • Jul 11, 2019
Global Factors Impacting the Fed's Rate Policy Jim Caron The Fed could cut rates by 50 basis points this month rather than the expected 25. Jim Caron of the Global Fixed Income Team shares his views on why this could happen.

Market Pulse • Jul 01, 2019
U.S.-China Talks at G20 Go Slightly Better than Expected Jim Caron U.S.-China trade talks at the G20 went better than expected. What does this mean for your portfolio? Jim Caron of the Global Fixed Income Team shares his investment strategy.

Market Pulse • Jun 24, 2019
Cashing in on Fed ‘Insurance’ Rate Cuts Jim Caron With rate cuts mostly priced into the market, Jim Caron of the Global Fixed Income Team shares his investment strategy for the remainder of the year.

Market Pulse • Jun 18, 2019
Volatility May Rise as Prices Decipher the Fed Jim Caron Will the Fed cut rates soon? The market seems to think so, but the Fed doesn’t seem so inclined. Jim Caron shares his views and opportunities that may be flying under the radar.