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The "all-weather" thesis for European private credit still stands. Demand continues to outstrip supply, banks remain constrained, and a substantial illiquidity premium persists. This paper addresses the concerns currently shaping market sentiment: high-profile non-private credit defaults such as First Brands, AI disruption, and BDCs. It also examines comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis and explains why none of these concerns fundamentally alter the investment case.
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Risk Considerations
Alternative investments are speculative, involve a high degree of risk, are highly illiquid, typically have higher fees than other investments, and may engage in the use of leverage, short sales, and derivatives, which may increase the risk of investment loss. These investments are designed for investors who understand and are willing to accept these risks. Performance may be volatile, and an investor could lose all or a substantial portion of its investment.
There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in the market.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
The views and opinions are those of the author as of the date of publication and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively the Firm”) and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.
This material is for the benefit of persons whom the Firm reasonably believes it is permitted to communicate to and should not be forwarded to any other person without the consent of the Firm. It is not addressed to any other person and may not be used by them for any purpose whatsoever. It is the responsibility of every person reading this material to fully observe the laws of any relevant country, including obtaining any governmental or other consent which may be required or observing any other formality which needs to be observed in that country. Unless otherwise stated, returns and market values contained herein are presented in US dollars.
This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Information does not address financial objectives, situation or specific needs of individual investors.
Any charts and graphs provided are for illustrative purposes only.
Past performance is no guarantee for future performance. The value of money invested in the fund can increase or decrease and there is no guarantee that all of your invested capital can be redeemed.
Any performance quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Any performance quoted represents hypothetical performance. Hypothetical performance does not represent actual performance and does not guarantee future results.
Performance shown in this material notes past performance and hypothetical performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Hypothetical performance does not represent actual performance and does not guarantee future results.
For the complete content and important disclosures, refer to the article pdf.
