US Mortgage Strategy

US Mortgage Strategy

US Mortgage Strategy

 
 
Summary

The Morgan Stanley US Mortgage Strategy seeks a high level of current income, by investing in a diversified portfolio of mortgage-related securities. To help achieve this objective, the strategy invests at least 80 percent of its assets in mortgage-related securities such as mortgage pass-through securities, mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS), collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).

 
 
Investment Approach
Philosophy

The team employs a value-based investment philosophy. They believe that bond prices reflect market forecasts for a variety of factors, such as economic growth, inflation, credit risk and prepayment risk, but that markets tend to be poor indicators of future events, especially when the implied market forecasts are at extreme levels.

As a value manager, the team seeks to identify situations where the market’s implied forecasts are extreme, and position the strategy to capture the potential value inherent in these situations. In order to capture these opportunities, the team is strongly committed to research and a disciplined, team-based investment process.

 
Differentiators
BUILT FOR TODAY’S BOND MARKET

We are active managers with an exclusive focus on alpha generation, a scarce commodity in today’s bond markets dominated by large passive investors. We are also backed by the global resources of Morgan Stanley, which makes us the “best of both worlds” for clients – true alpha focus with the support of a major institution.

A MORE POWERFUL COVERAGE MODEL

Our mortgage and securitized analysts cover the broad spectrum of global real estate and asset-backed securitizations.

ACCESS TO TENURED, WORLD-CLASS TALENT GLOBALLY

The portfolio managers on the Global Fixed Income team have an average of 25 years of investing experience and are focused on generating alpha. Our portfolio specialist team help design client solutions and keep portfolio managers connected to clients. Beyond seeking the best speed and efficiency in trade execution, our trading team think like investors with an average of 17 years investment experience.

 
 
 
Investment Process
1
Top-Down review:

The team is focused on determining where the market stands at each stage of the cycle. To help accomplish this, they evaluate macroeconomic factors such as employment, inflation, corporate/consumer credit and interest rate cycle.

2
Sector Allocation:

Transaction prices for securities of all mortgage-related products are captured by the team’s proprietary security market pricing database. Securities are segmented by product type, weighted average life/duration and credit stability. Expected cash flows of each bond are then projected using prepayment and credit-loss models. Finally, price/yield and weighted average life/duration profiles are derived from the models for each bond to help determine whether the bond is trading on a relatively rich, cheap or fair basis.

3
Security Selection:

The team’s experienced portfolio managers and traders purchase securities that best fit investment targets. Based on its value identification process that incorporates rigorous analyses and modeling, the team collects and prioritizes investment opportunities. They then determine if the identified securities fit the risk, philosophy, guidelines and maturity profile of the portfolio.

4
Risk Management:

Proprietary risk management and attribution systems allow the team to measure and manage portfolio risk on a daily basis, and help assess the impact of key investment decisions on investment performance. The team conducts monthly credit surveillance and generates collateral reports of prepayment and credit conditions, which allows them to review positions and decide if there is a need to amend the investment thesis.

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Portfolio Managers  
Gregory Finck
Co-head of Mortgage and Securitized
32 years industry experience
Matt Buckley
Executive Director
26 years industry experience
 

Effective December 16, 2022, Matthew Buckley was added as Portfolio Manager on the Strategy and Neil Stone is no longer serving as Portfolio Manager on the Strategy.

 
 
 
 
 

 

RISK CONSIDERATIONS  

Diversification does not protect you against a loss in a particular market; however it allows you to spread that risk across various asset classes.

There is no assurance that a portfolio will achieve its investment objective. Portfolios are subject to market risk, which is the possibility that the market value of securities owned by the portfolio will decline. Market values can change daily due to economic and other events (e.g. natural disasters, health crises, terrorism, conflicts and social unrest) that affect markets, countries, companies or governments. It is difficult to predict the timing, duration, and potential adverse effects (e.g. portfolio liquidity) of events. Accordingly, you can lose money investing in this strategy. Please be aware that this strategy may be subject to certain additional risks. Fixed-income securities are subject to the ability of an issuer to make timely principal and interest payments (credit risk), changes in interest rates (interest-rate risk), the creditworthiness of the issuer and general market liquidity (market risk). In the current rising interest-rate environment, bond prices may fall and may result in periods of volatility and increased portfolio redemptions. Longer-term securities may be more sensitive to interest rate changes. In a declining interest-rate environment, the portfolio may generate less income. Investments in each class of Stripped Mortgage-Backed Securities (SMBS) are extremely sensitive to changes in interest rates. Interest Onlys tend to decrease in value substantially if interest rates decline and prepayment rates become more rapid. Principal Onlys tend to decrease in value substantially if interest rates increase and the rate of prepayment decreases. Some U.S. Government securities are not backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S., thus these issuers may not be able to meet their future payment obligations. Mortgage- and asset-backed securities are sensitive to early prepayment risk and a higher risk of default and may be hard to value and difficult to sell (liquidity risk). They are also subject to credit, market and interest rate risks. Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) can have unpredictable cash flows that can increase the risk of loss. Investments in securities rated below investment grade (commonly known as "junk bonds") present greater risk of loss to principal and interest than investment in higher-quality securities. Restricted and illiquid securities may be more difficult to sell and value than publicly traded securities (liquidity risk). Investments in foreign markets entail special risks such as currency, political, economic, and market risks. Inverse floaters are sensitive to early prepayment risk and interest rate changes and are more volatile than most other fixed-income securities. Derivative instruments can be illiquid, may disproportionately increase losses and may have a potentially large negative impact on the portfolio’s performance. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) are subject to credit risk and prepayment risk. Although prepayment risk is present, it is of a lesser degree in CMBS than in the residential mortgage market; commercial real estate property loans often contain provisions which substantially reduce the likelihood that such securities will be prepaid.

This communication is only intended for and will be only distributed to persons resident in jurisdictions where such distribution or availability would not be contrary to local laws or regulations.

There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in the market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

A separately managed account may not be appropriate for all investors. Separate accounts managed according to the Strategy include a number of securities and will not necessarily track the performance of any index. Please consider the investment objectives, risks and fees of the Strategy carefully before investing. A minimum asset level is required. For important information about the investment manager, please refer to Form ADV Part 2.

Any views and opinions provided are those of the portfolio management team and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Furthermore, the views will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing, or changes occurring. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all portfolio managers at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) or the views of the firm as a whole, and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.

All information provided has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The information herein has not been based on a consideration of any individual investor circumstances and is not investment advice, nor should it be construed in any way as tax, accounting, legal or regulatory advice. To that end, investors should seek independent legal and financial advice, including advice as to tax consequences, before making any investment decision.

OTHER CONSIDERATIONS

The indexes are unmanaged and do not include any expenses, fees or sales charges. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Any index referred to herein is the intellectual property (including registered trademarks) of the applicable licensor. Any product based on an index is in no way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by the applicable licensor and it shall not have any liability with respect thereto.

The Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index (formerly listed as Barclays Mortgage Index) tracks agency mortgage backed pass-through securities (both fixed-rate and hybrid ARM) guaranteed by Ginnie Mae (GNMA), Fannie Mae (FNMA), and Freddie Mac (FHLMC). This Index is the Mortgage Backed Securities Fixed Rate component of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index.

“Bloomberg®” and the Bloomberg Index/Indices used are service marks of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates, and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM). Bloomberg is not affiliated with MSIM, does not approve, endorse, review, or recommend any product, and. does not guarantee the timeliness, accurateness, or completeness of any data or information relating to any product.

The information presented represents how the portfolio management team generally implements its investment process under normal market conditions.

Morgan Stanley Investment Management is the asset management division of Morgan Stanley.

 

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