The Morgan Stanley Indian Equity Strategy seeks to deliver long term risk adjusted returns by investing in Indian equities. It integrates top down macro-thematic research with bottom-up analysis to build a growth-oriented portfolio.
The team follows a disciplined investment process that integrates top-down sector allocation with bottom-up security selection:
Analyzing macro trends is challenging in India, given that data releases come with a lag and are often subject to large revisions. To work around these shortcomings, we have created our own dashboard of high frequency indicators (for example diesel consumption, cement dispatches, power generation and automobile sales) which we believe are far more reliable and timely at picking up inflection points and trends of acceleration or deceleration in sectors compared to headline GDP growth rates or inflation numbers.
After identifying trends from the macro dashboard, the second question is how to pick stocks, particularly when the universe of listed stocks on the Indian exchanges of over 5,0002 names. Over the years, we maintain (and of course constantly review and update) a short list of companies that meets our criteria on parameters such as quality, governance, size, liquidity and track record and that we feel best transmits a sector view. So, once the high frequency dashboard throws up a sector that is at an inflection point, or confirms a trend, we waste little time in making up our mind on which stocks will likely benefit from the sector tailwind. Our long institutional memory, coming from a stable and experienced team, serves us well here.