Approfondimenti
Infrastructure 2026 Outlook
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Alternatives 2026 Outlook
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dicembre 16, 2025
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dicembre 16, 2025
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Infrastructure 2026 Outlook |
Riding the wave while avoiding the crowds
Key Takeaways:
What We Are Seeing
Geopolitical uncertainty is the new normal and is here to stay. Affordability concerns have created significant political and regulatory risk in assets where costs ultimately pass through to the voting population.
We have seen slower exit activity, especially with the largest deals. At a time when investors’ infrastructure portfolios are maturing, there is increased focus on distributions to paid-in capital (or DPI) as a metric. As managers grapple with this DPI pressure, we anticipate more exit activity, which in turn should generate more deal flow.
What We Are Doing
We have focused on infrastructure assets that are contracted with private counterparties, while minimizing exposure to subsidies, economic regulation or governments counterparties.
Our traditional sources of deal flow continue to come through various market cycles. One important source of opportunity is carve-outs, which allow companies and strategic partners to address their capital needs while taking a focused approach to their business.
We have also focused on take-privates for deal flow that is insulated from market conditions.
Finally, as we are a middle-market infrastructure investor, our team finds ample opportunities to offer creative solutions via partnerships with families and individuals.
What We Are Watching
The proliferation of data centers and their related power needs are the two most important trends we are seeing right now. Recent reports estimate that data centers will require more than 50 Gigawatts of power in the US by 2028, representing roughly half of the growth in total power demand.1
We believe that the key to investing in data centers is avoiding crowded, headline themes with high entry multiples, and rather focus on secondary and tertiary themes that offer better risk adjusted return profiles such as wholesale multi-tenant data centers.