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2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

Outlooks

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

Outlooks

Thoughts on the Market

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- Morgan Stanley helps people, institutions and governments raise, manage and distribute the capital they need to achieve their goals.
  
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About Us
About Us
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  Everything we do at Morgan Stanley is guided by our five core values: Do the right thing, put clients first, lead with exceptional ideas, commit to diversity and inclusion, and give back.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
  Leadership
  
  Morgan Stanley leadership is dedicated to conducting first-class business in a first-class way. Our board of directors and senior executives hold the belief that capital can and should benefit all of society.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
  History
  
  From our origins as a small Wall Street partnership to becoming a global firm of more than 80,000 employees today, Morgan Stanley has been committed to clients and communities for 90 years.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
  Diversity
  
  Morgan Stanley is differentiated by the caliber of our diverse team. Our culture of access and inclusion has built our legacy and shapes our future, helping to strengthen our business and bring value to clients.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
  Sustainability
  
  Our firm's commitment to sustainability informs our operations, governance, risk management, diversity efforts, philanthropy and research.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  At Morgan Stanley, giving back is a core value—a central part of our culture globally. We live that commitment through long-lasting partnerships, community-based delivery and engaging our best asset—Morgan Stanley employees.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  As a global financial services firm, Morgan Stanley is committed to technological innovation. We rely on our technologists around the world to create leading-edge, secure platforms for all our businesses.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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Featured

Explore Our Culture

Careers

Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley

Technology

Research

Through timely, in-depth analysis of companies, industries, markets and world economies, Morgan Stanley has earned its reputation as a leader in the field of investment research.

Insights

Research

Four Key Investment Themes for 2026

Jan 27, 2026

Morgan Stanley Research’s key investment themes for this year are Tech Diffusion, The Future of Energy, The Multipolar World and Societal Shifts.

Research

Contrarian Views That Could Shape Markets in 2026

Jan 21, 2026

In its annual “Big Debates” series, Morgan Stanley Research identifies opportunities across sectors and regions where the firm’s views point in different directions than the current market consensus.

Research

Investors Evaluate Developments in Venezuela

Jan 6, 2026

The U.S. military intervention in Venezuela introduces political, operational and economic uncertainty that could influence markets over time.

Research

AI Boom Drives Thematic Investment

Jan 2, 2026

At Morgan Stanley’s 2025 Thematic Conference, leaders emphasized AI’s role in influencing structural changes across industries and in the global economy.  

Research

U.S. Consumers Feel a Holiday Glow

Dec 18, 2025

Holiday spending stays strong despite inflation, as consumers seek discounts, shift budgets online and embrace AI tools.

Research

Clear Skies for Corporate Travel in 2026

Dec 11, 2025

A new survey shows that corporate travel managers are more optimistic about the 2026 outlook, which could benefit airlines and hotel operators.

Research

Here Come the Shopping Bots

Dec 8, 2025

AI-powered shopping assistants—called agentic shoppers—are emerging and could reach $385 billion of U.S. e-commerce sales by 2030.

Research

The Longevity Effect

Nov 26, 2025

Morgan Stanley leaders discuss how the world’s aging population presents challenges, but also opportunities for businesses and investors.

Research

Dollar Depreciation Could Deepen Before a Rebound

Nov 26, 2025

The U.S. dollar is poised for a volatile year ahead, with further declines expected through mid-2026 before a comeback in the second half.

Research

U.S. Stocks Shine in Spotlight of Favorable Conditions

Nov 19, 2025

Risk assets are poised for a strong year in a friendly policy and macroeconomic environment, with U.S. stocks outperforming peers. U.S. government bonds are likely to weaken after a rally in the first half of the year.

Research

2026 Economic Outlook: Moderate Growth With a Range of Possibilities

Nov 19, 2025

U.S. consumer spending and capital expenditures on AI are likely to drive moderate growth as global inflation slows.

Research

Consumer Credit Remains Resilient at the Top

Nov 10, 2025

Despite investors’ concern about vulnerabilities in U.S. consumer credit, the strength of high-income consumers is expected to continue to prop up the broader U.S. economy.

Research

AI and M&A in European Tech, Media and Telecom

Nov 6, 2025

As the global tech landscape evolves rapidly, five major themes are emerging across the technology, media, and telecom sectors in Europe.

Exceptional Leaders/Exceptional Ideas

Research

BeOne Medicines: Redefining Cancer Care

Jan 12, 2026

BeOne Medicines Co-Founder, Chairman and CEO John V. Oyler shares how the company is challenging the status quo in oncology, with a focus on affordability and access to benefit patients everywhere.

Research

Dick’s Sporting Goods: A New Arena for Retail

Nov 10, 2025

Dick’s Sporting Goods Executive Chairman Ed Stack shares how the company is transforming retail through immersive experiences, digital platforms like GameChanger, and a commitment to youth sports and culture.

Research

Singtel: Connecting Asia's Digital Future

Aug 27, 2025

Singtel Group CEO Yuen Kuan Moon talks about how the company is driving new growth through next-generation data centers and IT services to power Asia’s digital economy.

Research

P&G: A Blueprint for Indispensable Brands

Jul 24, 2025

Morgan Stanley Research sits down with Procter & Gamble CEO Jon Moeller to discuss how the company is reimagining its business model while continuing to develop some of the world’s most indispensable household products.

Research

Tufan Erginbilgiç: Leading Rolls-Royce's Bold Transformation

Mar 25, 2025

Morgan Stanley sits down with Rolls-Royce CEO Tufan Erginbilgiç to explore how he’s leading an iconic brand through a bold transformation—focusing on innovation, mindset shifts, and a granular strategy for growth.

Research

Arista Networks: Leading Cloud Networking in the Age of AI

Feb 28, 2025

Morgan Stanley sits down with Arista Networks CEO Jayshree Ullal to explore how the company maintains startup agility as an industry leader.

Research

Qualcomm's Cristiano Amon: Setting the Pace of Innovation

Nov 22, 2024

Morgan Stanley sits down with Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon to talk about how the company is setting the pace of innovation in mobile computing.

Listen to Thoughts on the Market

Ideas

Mike Wilson, U.S. Equities

Mike Wilson offers his perspective on the forces shaping the markets and how to separate the signal from the noise. Listen to his most recent episode and check out those of his colleagues from across Morgan Stanley Research.

Ideas

Andrew Sheets, Corporate Credit

Each week, Global Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets, or a member of his team, offers perspective on the forces shaping the markets as well as insights on investment opportunities and risk across global asset classes.

Ideas

Michael Zezas, U.S. Public Policy

Michael Zezas offers perspective on how U.S. public policy affects equity and fixed income markets, including trade tensions, infrastructure and government policy.

Events

Research

Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom | San Francisco 2025

Feb 25, 2025

Discover the latest trends in generative AI and other themes shaping technology, media and telecom from this year’s TMT conference in San Francisco.

Research

Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference | London 2025

Mar 18, 2025

Discover the latest trends and themes shaping the global financial industry from this year’s 21st annual conference in London.

Research

A New Space Economy on the Edge of Liftoff

Feb 17, 2021

Join Morgan Stanley as we explore the market forces, technology and imagination driving the new Space Age. Just as the elevator changed real estate, will the reusable rocket bring opportunities we can't yet imagine?

Meet Our Analysts

Profile

Research

Four Key Investment Themes for 2026

Contrarian Views That Could Shape Markets in 2026

Investors Evaluate Developments in Venezuela

AI Boom Drives Thematic Investment

U.S. Consumers Feel a Holiday Glow

Clear Skies for Corporate Travel in 2026

Here Come the Shopping Bots

The Longevity Effect

Dollar Depreciation Could Deepen Before a Rebound

U.S. Stocks Shine in Spotlight of Favorable Conditions

2026 Economic Outlook: Moderate Growth With a Range of Possibilities

Consumer Credit Remains Resilient at the Top

AI and M&A in European Tech, Media and Telecom

BeOne Medicines: Redefining Cancer Care

Dick’s Sporting Goods: A New Arena for Retail

Singtel: Connecting Asia's Digital Future

P&G: A Blueprint for Indispensable Brands

Tufan Erginbilgiç: Leading Rolls-Royce's Bold Transformation

Arista Networks: Leading Cloud Networking in the Age of AI

Qualcomm's Cristiano Amon: Setting the Pace of Innovation

Mike Wilson, U.S. Equities

Andrew Sheets, Corporate Credit

Michael Zezas, U.S. Public Policy

Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom | San Francisco 2025

Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference | London 2025

A New Space Economy on the Edge of Liftoff

Michael Zezas

Benjamin Swinburne

Adam Jonas