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PATH  •  03-Nov-2022

Services Inflation: Higher Hurdle for Further Upside 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
As supply-chain constraints ease and goods inflation normalises, many expect US inflation to fall--but pressure remains elevated in services due to tight labour market conditions. Read how these continued headwinds are impacting our positioning.

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PATH  •  06-Oct-2022

Energy Crisis: The Power of Positioning 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
The energy crisis is having differing impacts on net energy importers and exporters. We discuss the implications for currencies, bonds and tactical positioning.

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inflation path page
PATH  •  08-Sep-2022

No Easy Fix 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
The conundrum faced by central banks continues as they seek to control inflation, at the risk of pushing economies into recession. The Global Balanced Risk Control team discuss the investment implications and tactical allocations to navigate this complex environment.

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PATH  •  09-Aug-2022

Bear Market Rally? 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
Evidence suggest that the recent strength in developed markets may just be a bear market rally with further downside potentially on the way. Here is how the GBaR team think about investment allocation to reflect the outlook.

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inflation path page
PATH  •  06-Jul-2022

The Central Bank Conundrum – Self-Inflicted? 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
As inflation remains high, central banks may seek further tightening while growth weakens. The Global Balanced Risk Control team share their thoughts on an optimal asset allocation to weather through the turbulent times.

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PATH  •  06-Jun-2022

Navigating Changing Correlations 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
Despite a difficult economic climate, we see some opportunities arising, particularly in the fixed income space.

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PATH  •  02-May-2022

Finding Bright Spots Amongst Dark Clouds 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
As monetary policy tightens, we share our thoughts on the investment implications and discuss tactical positioning.

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inflation path page
PATH  •  04-Mar-2022

Russia – Ukraine: Risk and Investment Implications 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
As the situation between Russia and Ukraine rapidly worsened, asset classes that had already sold off fell deeper into correction territory. We look at implications for inflation, monetary policy and positioning.

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PATH  •  12-Jan-2022

Three Events and a Rally 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
As we enter 2022, Omicron continues to spread, amid a hawkish Fed and setbacks to Biden’s Build Back Better bill. That said, we expect equities to continue to outperform fixed income, and provide moderate returns, given the healthy growth outlook.

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PATH  •  10-Dec-2021

Fed’s Hawkish Turn: Inflation No Longer “Transitory” 

Andrew Harmstone, Manfred Hui
Markets fell sharply in response to Omicron in November, and the rising uncertainty about how much the Fed may taper suggests maintaining a cautious risk exposure. See how we are responding to rates, shipping disruptions, energy prices and more.

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