Consilient Observer
Opportunities and Expectations
18 Jun 2026
Stock prices reflect the value of current earnings and the option to make investments that create value, the present value of growth opportunities (PVGO). We analyze how PVGO as a percentage of price serves as a measure of market timing and find it has some use. Next, we observe that the stocks of companies with low PVGO percentages outperformed those with high percentages. Lastly, a simple analysis suggests the PVGO percentage provided a higher return than the value factor in recent years.