Insights
Key Fixed Income ESG Considerations for 2023
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Sustainable Investing
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January 31, 2023
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January 31, 2023
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Key Fixed Income ESG Considerations for 2023 |
The year 2022 undoubtedly tested the durability of the sustainable-labelled debt market. The Russia-Ukraine conflict, the resulting energy crisis and rising inflation led to market volatility and higher interest rates, which deterred issuers of Green and other labelled Sustainable Bonds, albeit to a lesser degree than traditional bond supply.
While we expect some of the macro headwinds will continue to impact the market in 2023, a rebounding sustainable bond market can continue feeding opportunities for fixed income investors to mobilise capital towards ESG-related projects and targets, as client focus on sustainability objectives such as the net-zero transition expands to their debt holdings.
As the integration of sustainability within fixed income portfolios grows, pressure on investors to actively engage with bond issuers is also mounting, while sustainability disclosure frameworks could benefit from a more focused consideration of the complexities and ESG data challenges of non-corporate investments.
1) Labelled supply rebound in 2023: Sustainable Bonds will continue to provide opportunities to invest in real-world outcomes, however subject to growing scrutiny on their integrity
2022 has been an exceptionally tumultuous year for the bond market. Absolute global supply of Green, Social, Sustainability and Sustainability-Linked bonds (“Sustainable Bonds”) fell victim of the broader market trend, stopping short of $850 billion in new issuance, almost a fourth below 2021 levels. Still, in relative terms, labelled bonds continued their march toward becoming mainstream, reaching approximatively 30% of total new issuance for EUR IG and EUR HY.1
With a forecasted 2023 rebound to ~$1 trillion labelled issuance, Sustainable Bonds continue to represent an effective tool for fixed income portfolios to invest in sustainability objectives such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, equality, and job creation. This is further incentivised by policy measures such as the US Inflation Reduction Act, the EU Taxonomy and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), and the UK Transition Plan, among others.
Evolving regulation, especially in Europe, has, however, also introduced a greater degree of scrutiny on bond labels, with a skew of investor preference towards use of proceeds structures (characterising Green, Social and Sustainability Bonds) with an identified pool of environmental and/or social projects, which can more easily fit the definition of a “sustainable investment” under the EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR). Greater regulation-driven demand to buy those bonds could drive “greeniums” up again.2
Sustainability-Linked Bonds (SLBs), with their general corporate purpose nature, have on the other hand triggered increasing scepticism around their integrity. This is partially due to their appeal to companies from more carbon-intensive sectors. In addition, targets often lack credibility: for example, lack of consistent external assurance of the science-aligned nature of carbon reduction target used in a transaction. Credibility is further called into question when issuers look to revise their initial targets to be less ambitious, as was seen during the energy crisis in 2022. The first failure by one company to achieve its SLB target, which triggered the bond coupon step-up, was met with a largely neutral impact on the bond price, raising further questions about these instruments’ credibility and effectiveness.
We think SLBs remain a potentially effective alternative to use of proceeds bonds for less capex-intensive issuers, if structured in line with best practice. They could, for instance, be used to support specific biodiversity objectives for which it is challenging to find sufficient volumes of proceeds. In addition, sustainability-linked financing can be a powerful instrument to keep governments accountable on their climate-related and sustainable development pledges, including through changing administrations. 2022 saw the debut of SLBs in the sovereign space, with Chile and Uruguay issuing the first two bonds in this format. SLBs could be a viable route to facilitate the access of smaller, emerging market economies to debt markets, while providing investors with greater transparency associated with the reporting and external verification requirements of labelled transactions.
Moving into 2023, we believe the following considerations will be pivotal to the maturing and further mainstreaming of Sustainable Bonds:
2) Levelling up engagement with debt issuers: aiming for enhanced collaboration and long-term influence
As the implementation of ESG factors within Fixed Income portfolios continues to rise globally, from 42% of investors doing it in 2021 to 76% in 2022,3 and requirements for stewardship codes compliance and climate reporting toughen (e.g., UK Financial Conduct Authority requiring large financial institutions to report in line with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, or “TCFD”, by June 2023), bondholders are called to collaborate with equity holders to align their sustainability expectations when engaging in company dialogue, aiming to exert long-term influence on management. The Investment Association recently published guidelines on improving fixed income stewardship, recommending more intentional ESG-focused engagement to complement the more traditional information-gathering credit meetings.
We anticipate the following engagement priorities for fixed income investors during this year:
As presented in our 2022 Engagement Report, the MSIM Fixed Income team4 conducted almost 150 ESG-focused engagement meetings in the past year, with almost one-third influencing our investment strategy. We continue to make targeted, constructive engagement a priority, collaborating with the Global Stewardship team and other investment teams to leverage our exposure across the capital structure and across organisations to make more informed investment decisions, ensure accountability around sustainability issues, and help drive positive change.
3) Sustainability disclosure – the tip of the iceberg for fixed income: bespoke guidance on non-corporate investments and more security-level data can drive higher quality disclosure across asset classes
The regulatory push on sustainability-related disclosures, through SFDR in the EU and analogous ongoing efforts in the UK, the US, and several Asia-Pacific countries, is contributing to ensuring greater transparency in the sustainable investing market and a more responsible use of sustainability-related terminology in product names.
Most disclosure frameworks are largely focused on corporate investments, suitable to equity investors but leaving multiple challenges for fixed income to grapple with, given the diversity of asset classes within this universe.
As such frameworks evolve, we think greater standardisation on the following aspects can help catalyse more sustainable investing allocations to fixed income:
We recognise the regulatory and standards-setting landscapes are progressing fast, and we expect some of these aspects to be tackled in more detail in the course of the year. Data availability and quality will play a major role in determining fixed income investors’ ability to expand the spectrum of investments that they can analyse and potentially classify according to varying degrees of sustainability criteria. At MSIM, we have developed methodologies to assess sovereign, securitised, and labelled Sustainable Bond investments.
As more jurisdictions design their own approaches to sustainability disclosures, they should build on the EU experience and aim to take some of these issues into account from the outset.
2023: Time to Stop, Collaborate and Listen
After the exceptional uncertainty of 2022, this is the year in which investors’ attention turns to a more promising fixed income outlook. We expect it will be a crucial year to consolidate the credibility of the labelled Sustainable Bond market. This could mean temporarily putting on hold the supply-side push on innovation and be more thoughtful about the role these instruments play, including within the new regulatory regimes taking shape across Europe, North America, and Asia. Labelled debt, when robustly structured, can represent (at least temporarily) a safe harbour from the risk of greenwashing that is embedded in otherwise vaguely defined sustainable investments.
We believe that engagement should start bearing fruit, with concrete evidence of action – both from issuers to implement recommendations, and from investors to reflect that in their investment strategy. Fixed income investors will likely be more empowered and have a stronger voice at the table to utilise their holdings to influence issuers and drive forward key sustainability themes.
Finally, as regulators across geographies learn from the experiences of SFDR to establish new disclosure frameworks, it is critical that they take into consideration the complexities of fixed income investments, in order to ensure a level playing field in the offering of sustainable products and a more comprehensive application of enhanced transparency requirements across the market.
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Executive Director, EMEA Head of Fixed Income ESG Strategy
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