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2025 Midyear Investment Outlook: All Eyes on the U.S.

Outlooks

2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

Outlooks

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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  Morgan Stanley leadership is dedicated to conducting first-class business in a first-class way. Our board of directors and senior executives hold the belief that capital can and should benefit all of society.
- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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  From our origins as a small Wall Street partnership to becoming a global firm of more than 80,000 employees today, Morgan Stanley has been committed to clients and communities for 89 years.
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- Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. Underpinning all that we do are five core values.
  
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Research

Bank M&A Poised to Pick Up

Jun 9, 2025

The U.S. banking industry could begin a new wave of consolidation as regulators become more favorable to deals and fears of a recession subside.

Research

AI in China: A Sleeping Giant Awakens

May 22, 2025

China has set its sights on achieving global artificial intelligence leadership by 2030. By then, its AI investments could deliver a 52% return on invested capital, according to Morgan Stanley Research.

Wealth Management

Regulatory Rollback: Four Sectors to Watch

May 20, 2025

Discover how governmental deregulation efforts could spur economic and market gains in select industries.

Wealth Management

Why the Market Rally May Be Misleading

May 20, 2025

While the stock market has rallied back to January’s levels, other asset classes are sending more cautionary signals.

Source

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Research

Luxury's Delay in Regaining Its Sparkle

May 20, 2025

The luxury goods industry is facing a challenging phase as the global economy slows amid increased concerns regarding U.S. consumers and no pickup in Chinese spending.

Research

Humanoids: A $5 Trillion Market

May 14, 2025

The number of robots that resemble and act like humans is likely to reach nearly 1 billion by 2050, with China currently leading in development.

Wealth Management

The Narrow Path to a New Bull Market

May 14, 2025

Stimulative tax reform, deregulation and low inflation could pave the way for an enduring market rally, but bringing those developments to pass will take both luck and skill.

Investment Management

Investing Smarter with Direct Indexing

May 13, 2025

Amid volatile markets, investors might consider direct indexing, which offers portfolio customization and the ability to pursue tax-efficient strategies within passive investing.

Research

The Exponential Growth of Obesity Drugs

May 9, 2025

The global market for weight-loss medications could reach $150 billion by 2035.

Sales and Trading

How M&A Is Reshaping U.S. Healthcare Systems

May 6, 2025

As U.S. hospitals divest assets and some regional players and academic medical centers make acquisitions, investors and patients alike will need to assess the effects on healthcare access, affordability and profitability.

Research

Tariffs Hit the Shelves

May 5, 2025

U.S. retailers and consumers are bracing for the impact of U.S. tariffs, with expectations of higher costs and potentially weaker demand.

Research

Canada’s Election Results Target Economic Growth

May 2, 2025

The Liberal Party’s victory in Canada’s federal election is likely to lead to spending measures that may help offset the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Investment Management

Time to Be Selective and Flexible: 2025 Fixed Income Outlook

Apr 30, 2025

Investors in bond markets should choose carefully this year, considering sectors such as corporate credit, securitized credit and emerging-market debt that may provide relative value and diversification.

Institute for Sustainable Investing

Individual Investor Interest in Sustainable Investing Remains Strong

Apr 30, 2025

Nearly 90% of global individual investors express interest in sustainable investing, citing the desire to support positive outcomes and the potential for competitive returns.

Wealth Management

The Obstacles to a New Bull Market

Apr 29, 2025

Tariff-related volatility has eased somewhat, but stagflation and U.S. debt concerns mean a new bull run may still be out of reach.

Institute for Sustainable Investing

Meet the Future of Sustainable Finance

Apr 28, 2025

Students from the University of Oxford won the 2025 Kellogg-Morgan Stanley Sustainable Investing Challenge.

Research

Can Fermentation Unlock the Future of Food?

Apr 25, 2025

The market for fermented foods is growing as companies seek new ways to develop nutritious, affordable, sustainable food.

Research

A Sharp Slowdown in Asia

Apr 21, 2025

Asia’s economies are likely to see a drag on growth as tariff-related uncertainties hurt corporate confidence and trade.

Wealth Management

Risks Linger Despite Pause on Tariffs

Apr 16, 2025

The Trump administration’s pause on reciprocal tariffs brought relief to markets, but economic risks still loom large. What should investors do now?

Research

A Pivotal Time for Japanese Investors

Apr 15, 2025

As inflation returns to Japan, investors are looking for new ways to protect their assets, a trend that’s creating opportunities for the local financial industry.

Research

U.S. Economy Still On the Edge

Apr 11, 2025

The decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs helps reduce risks, but prolonged uncertainty clouds the outlook for the U.S. economy.

Wealth Management

How to Live Your Best Life As You Age

Apr 11, 2025

Dr. Kim Henderson from Morgan Stanley discusses how health, balance and purpose can help you thrive in your older years.

Wealth Management

How to Invest Through Tariff Turbulence

Apr 8, 2025

Soaring tariffs have triggered market mayhem. How can you help minimize the bite to your portfolio?

Research

Egg Prices Should Finally Crack

Apr 7, 2025

After disappearing from shelves and reaching record high prices in February, eggs are coming back to retail stores and should become cheaper in the coming weeks.

Wealth Management

Trump Tariffs: What's Next for Investors?

Apr 3, 2025

President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement has deeply shaken markets. What should investors expect next?

Research

Tariffs Could Jeopardize Growth Outlook and Rate Cuts

Apr 3, 2025

Morgan Stanley says a June rate cut is less likely in light of new tariffs and an increased risk of inflation.

Wealth Management

Is the Bull Market Broken?

Apr 2, 2025

Recent shifts in Fed policy and tech-stock performance suggest it’s time to rethink investment strategies.

Research

Leading Rolls-Royce's Bold Transformation

Mar 25, 2025

Morgan Stanley sits down with Rolls-Royce CEO to explore how he’s leading an iconic brand through a bold transformation – focusing on innovation, mindset shifts, and a granular strategy for growth.

Research

Unlocking the Housing Market

Mar 21, 2025

A decline in mortgage rates could help boost home sales, with potential positive effects on the economy overall.

Investment Banking

AI's Next Leap: 5 Trends Shaping Innovation and ROI

Mar 20, 2025

The world’s biggest tech companies presented at Morgan Stanley’s Technology, Media & Telecom Conference, identifying five trends around AI’s next frontiers and its ability to deliver ROI for enterprises.

Wealth Management

Tax Cut Costs May Outweigh Benefits

Mar 19, 2025

Proposed tax and spending cuts from Washington pose risks to the economic outlook. Should investors brace for more market turmoil?

Research

Regulation Offers a Boost for Banks

Mar 18, 2025

A more favorable U.S. regulatory environment is likely to fuel lending and activity in capital markets, improving the outlook for bank earnings.